Calculations: All probabilities and seedings are computed
based on

(1) 10,000 or more scenarios where each scenario
is one complete regular season of games.

(2) Games that have not been played are "played" by using a
random number generator, the strength of the opponents based
on a power rating for each team. Power ratings are generated
from Las Vegas odds or a power rating computer program sim-
ilar to the Sagarin ratings. So if team A plays team B
random numbers between 0.0 and 1.0 are determined for each
game and their scores are determined by their power ratings
and this random generator. The higher the power rating, the
higher the score for that team.

(3) NFL playoff selection rules and in particular, the tie-
breaking rules. This is a complicated set of rules where the
rules are simple at first and more complicated as one moves
down the list until there is a clear winner for teams that
initially have identical records.
    

Worst Future

This probability is based on a team losing its remaining games. teamname 1st 2nd 3rd 4th wc 1 wc 2 total Arizona 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Atlanta 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Baltimore 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.010 0.000 0.000 0.010 Buffalo 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Carolina 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Chicago 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Cincinnati 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Cleveland 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Dallas 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.093 0.000 0.000 0.093 Denver 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Detroit 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Green Bay 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.004 0.007 0.075 0.086 Houston 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Indianapolis 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Jacksonville 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Kansas City 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Miami 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Minnesota 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 New England 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.003 New Orleans 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.002 N.Y. Giants 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 N.Y. Jets 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Oakland 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Philadelphia 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Pittsburgh 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Los Angeles Chargers 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Seattle 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 San Francisco 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Los Angeles Rams 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Tampa Bay 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Tennessee 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Washington 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.109 0.007 0.078 0.194