College Statistics
 
 Sun Jun 17 16:54:30 EDT 2012
 
 Return to Ratings, Stats & Probabilities
 
For an explanation of how the probabilities are calculated see Guide. Because there is some randomness to the histogram, there is not an exact linear relationship between the sum and its probability. That is, there may be a case where a team has a lower sum but higher at-large probability. Click on teams below for a breakdown on the team selection factors.
LaxPower congratulates the Salisbury Seagulls -- 2012 NCAA D-III champions.
Teamname Tourn Auto At-Large W-L Percentage SOS Sel. Qual. Sel. Total Div Reg Div Reg Sum Prob. Prob. Prob. *0.5 *0.5 *0.5 5 clms 1 Birmingham-Southern 100.00 100.00 7.19 21 18 21 107 88 190.00 2 Cabrini 100.00 100.00 40.52 8 11 8 52 55 98.50 3 Cortland 100.00 100.00 100.00 2 2 2 16 5 22.50 4 Dickinson 100.00 100.00 59.34 14 19 14 21 20 64.00 5 Goucher 100.00 100.00 53.85 3 5 3 43 37 69.50 6 Montclair State 100.00 100.00 18.70 43 32 43 59 63 165.50 7 RIT 100.00 100.00 100.00 11 10 11 4 6 28.00 8 Springfield 100.00 100.00 49.48 16 16 16 34 26 79.00 9 Stevens 100.00 100.00 85.71 9 13 9 9 29 45.50 10 Widener 100.00 100.00 2.42 86 89 88 53 36 247.00 11 Lynchburg 100.00 0.00 100.00 5 6 5 7 9 21.00 12 Salisbury 100.00 0.00 100.00 1 3 1 12 7 18.00 13 Tufts 100.00 0.00 100.00 7 4 7 6 3 17.00 14 Stevenson 95.38 0.00 95.38 15 14 15 2 1 30.00 15 Denison 93.06 0.00 93.06 6 7 6 17 10 35.00 16 Western New England 75.62 35.00 62.50 26 21 27 11 8 62.00 17 Union 73.56 0.00 73.56 25 28 26 1 4 56.00 18 Eastern 61.76 60.00 4.40 24 34 25 94 92 198.00 19 Roanoke 45.13 0.00 45.13 23 26 24 29 13 84.00 20 St. Lawrence 45.13 0.00 45.13 13 17 13 35 40 84.00 21 Roger Williams 43.31 29.00 20.16 50 41 50 48 47 162.00 22 Bowdoin 42.98 0.00 42.98 29 29 30 20 17 86.00 23 Fairleigh Dickinson 40.81 40.00 1.35 88 126 99 46 76 303.00 24 Gettysburg 40.68 0.00 40.68 54 42 54 3 2 100.00 25 Adrian 40.52 0.00 40.52 4 1 4 73 35 95.00 26 Eastern Connecticut 36.36 0.00 36.36 36 27 36 37 39 119.00 27 Morrisville State 36.08 35.00 1.66 32 23 32 147 139 271.00 28 Washington College 34.91 0.00 34.91 44 44 44 19 18 116.00 29 Keuka 34.11 33.00 1.66 22 31 22 139 155 269.00 30 Drew 33.62 0.00 33.62 18 9 18 67 58 123.00 31 Kenyon 33.05 0.00 33.05 40 25 40 40 33 121.00 32 Ithaca 30.97 0.00 30.97 38 50 38 23 31 126.00 33 Ohio Wesleyan 30.36 0.00 30.36 33 66 33 28 16 134.00 34 Endicott 29.39 26.00 4.58 81 79 81 24 22 194.00 35 St. John Fisher 29.20 0.00 29.20 34 33 34 47 45 136.00 36 McDaniel 29.06 0.00 29.06 55 64 55 15 12 139.00 37 Cazenovia 27.00 27.00 0.00 97 91 90 129 147 386.00 38 Franklin & Marshall 26.50 0.00 26.50 37 37 37 44 48 141.00 39 Trinity 24.00 0.00 24.00 58 56 58 27 23 152.00 40 Aurora 23.14 0.00 23.14 17 15 17 76 87 150.00 41 Medaille 21.00 21.00 0.00 92 102 85 142 156 410.00 42 Mary Washington 20.16 0.00 20.16 41 39 41 57 53 162.00 43 Clarkson 19.51 0.00 19.51 60 57 60 32 30 164.00 44 Connecticut College 19.51 0.00 19.51 66 62 66 26 21 164.00 45 Colby 18.03 0.00 18.03 45 45 45 51 51 165.00 46 Salve Regina 13.00 13.00 0.00 175 173 176 102 104 502.00 47 Gordon 12.20 11.00 1.35 90 86 91 87 80 303.00 48 Hilbert 12.00 12.00 0.00 113 132 114 166 182 502.00 49 U. of New England 11.00 11.00 0.00 94 97 94 97 90 333.00 50 St. Mary's 10.79 0.00 10.79 51 60 51 41 50 176.00 51 Cobleskill 8.00 8.00 0.00 163 166 165 146 166 558.00 52 Wittenberg 7.24 0.00 7.24 53 47 53 66 43 186.00 53 Rensselaer 6.54 0.00 6.54 42 46 42 71 65 191.00 54 Amherst 5.77 0.00 5.77 70 85 71 25 24 192.00 55 Washington & Lee 5.77 0.00 5.77 87 77 89 14 27 191.00 56 Wheaton 5.77 0.00 5.77 35 36 35 84 75 191.00 57 Colorado College 4.58 0.00 4.58 12 8 12 127 99 196.00 58 Hampden-Sydney 4.55 0.00 4.55 72 72 73 33 32 193.00 59 Keene State 4.55 0.00 4.55 48 51 48 64 60 193.00 60 Plattsburgh 4.43 0.00 4.43 57 43 57 65 71 199.00 61 Hamilton 3.21 0.00 3.21 61 71 61 61 49 216.00 62 UMass Dartmouth 3.21 0.00 3.21 52 54 52 75 72 217.00 63 Virginia Wesleyan 2.99 0.00 2.99 67 74 68 49 44 212.00 64 Scranton 2.61 0.00 2.61 73 68 74 60 67 234.00 65 Sewanee 2.47 0.00 2.47 28 35 29 132 105 247.00 66 Centre 2.44 0.00 2.44 19 24 19 125 138 236.00 67 Babson 2.42 0.00 2.42 65 49 65 62 61 205.00 68 Kean 2.41 0.00 2.41 39 38 39 91 83 208.00 69 Lasell 2.41 0.00 2.41 27 20 28 138 113 241.00 70 Wesleyan 2.41 0.00 2.41 64 61 64 56 57 209.00 71 Haverford 2.38 0.00 2.38 112 115 113 13 19 249.00 72 Catholic 2.33 0.00 2.33 59 69 59 85 78 251.00 73 York 2.31 0.00 2.31 76 75 77 69 66 253.00 74 Oswego 2.21 0.00 2.21 69 84 70 68 70 256.00 75 Albright 2.19 0.00 2.19 10 12 10 164 150 261.00 76 Nazareth 1.99 0.00 1.99 96 111 97 8 14 222.00 77 Trine 1.66 0.00 1.66 93 53 93 78 89 267.00 78 Marywood 1.50 0.00 1.50 79 87 79 98 95 310.00 79 Lycoming 1.48 0.00 1.48 101 106 102 70 69 311.00 80 Western Connecticut 1.46 0.00 1.46 75 88 76 99 101 312.00 81 Gwynedd-Mercy 1.40 0.00 1.40 47 81 47 119 122 307.00 82 Susquehanna 1.38 0.00 1.38 74 73 75 106 98 302.00 83 Ursinus 1.38 0.00 1.38 127 143 126 18 28 301.00 84 Geneseo 1.36 0.00 1.36 111 101 112 5 11 222.00 85 Mount Ida 1.36 0.00 1.36 20 22 20 123 117 223.00 86 Christopher Newport 1.33 0.00 1.33 119 122 120 38 42 300.00 87 Carthage 1.28 0.00 1.28 30 30 31 116 108 230.00 88 Mount St. Joseph 1.18 0.00 1.18 84 144 86 30 46 282.00 89 Oneonta 1.18 0.00 1.18 136 128 136 10 15 281.00 90 New England College 1.16 0.00 1.16 46 48 46 131 126 288.00 91 Randolph-Macon 1.15 0.00 1.15 85 90 87 74 74 286.00 92 Otterbein 1.14 0.00 1.14 63 67 63 108 93 283.00 93 Plymouth State 1.12 0.00 1.12 49 52 49 117 112 273.00 94 Concordia-Wisconsin 1.10 0.00 1.10 71 58 72 96 96 273.00 95 Norwich 1.09 0.00 1.09 56 55 56 114 102 276.00 96 Middlebury 0.75 0.00 0.75 147 142 147 22 25 322.00 97 Curry 0.74 0.00 0.74 78 63 67 121 119 315.00 98 Misericordia 0.74 0.00 0.74 31 40 23 168 164 316.00 99 Albion 0.00 0.00 0.00 130 124 130 72 97 374.00 100 Alfred 0.00 0.00 0.00 151 150 159 63 64 399.00 101 Alma 0.00 0.00 0.00 185 183 185 148 169 599.00 102 Alvernia 0.00 0.00 0.00 139 156 139 171 170 550.00 103 Anna Maria 0.00 0.00 0.00 77 76 78 150 144 375.00 104 Augustana 0.00 0.00 0.00 68 107 69 173 175 435.00 105 Bates 0.00 0.00 0.00 144 139 144 42 52 351.00 106 Becker 0.00 0.00 0.00 156 151 154 158 154 541.00 107 Berry 0.00 0.00 0.00 117 121 118 140 143 449.00 108 Bethany 0.00 0.00 0.00 183 184 182 185 188 645.00 109 Brockport 0.00 0.00 0.00 133 130 134 45 59 337.00 110 Castleton 0.00 0.00 0.00 80 78 80 152 146 383.00 111 Centenary 0.00 0.00 0.00 118 185 119 77 121 440.00 112 Clark 0.00 0.00 0.00 110 113 111 95 94 365.00 113 Dallas 0.00 0.00 0.00 178 179 183 128 131 552.00 114 Daniel Webster 0.00 0.00 0.00 145 140 145 179 177 551.00 115 DeSales 0.00 0.00 0.00 120 105 121 151 160 456.00 116 Elizabethtown 0.00 0.00 0.00 98 92 98 133 123 384.00 117 Elmira 0.00 0.00 0.00 160 177 160 55 103 443.00 118 Emerson 0.00 0.00 0.00 181 178 180 143 145 573.00 119 Emmanuel 0.00 0.00 0.00 105 98 106 175 172 464.00 120 Farmingdale State 0.00 0.00 0.00 121 114 122 104 111 394.00 121 Ferrum 0.00 0.00 0.00 122 127 123 130 133 445.00 122 Fontbonne 0.00 0.00 0.00 89 59 84 155 135 367.00 123 Frostburg State 0.00 0.00 0.00 180 175 179 101 100 505.00 124 Green Mountain 0.00 0.00 0.00 186 186 186 182 184 646.00 125 Greensboro 0.00 0.00 0.00 91 70 92 134 132 361.00 126 Guilford 0.00 0.00 0.00 123 152 133 54 68 367.00 127 Hanover 0.00 0.00 0.00 157 159 155 105 140 489.00 128 Hartwick 0.00 0.00 0.00 99 99 100 124 129 386.00 129 Hendrix 0.00 0.00 0.00 134 131 135 144 124 471.00 130 Hood 0.00 0.00 0.00 159 155 158 82 79 434.00 131 Huntingdon 0.00 0.00 0.00 135 117 128 188 187 529.00 132 Husson 0.00 0.00 0.00 82 80 82 165 157 405.00 133 Immaculata 0.00 0.00 0.00 167 157 167 113 130 501.00 134 Johnson State 0.00 0.00 0.00 146 141 146 187 186 567.00 135 King's 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 82 101 126 134 375.00 136 La Roche 0.00 0.00 0.00 148 133 156 170 161 535.00 137 Lebanon Valley 0.00 0.00 0.00 62 65 62 156 141 353.00 138 Lyndon State 0.00 0.00 0.00 150 147 149 174 173 556.00 139 Maine Farmington 0.00 0.00 0.00 172 168 172 183 185 615.00 140 Maine Maritime 0.00 0.00 0.00 124 118 124 176 174 505.00 141 Manhattanville 0.00 0.00 0.00 152 160 150 103 106 467.00 142 Maritime 0.00 0.00 0.00 169 162 169 137 142 538.00 143 Marymount 0.00 0.00 0.00 140 137 140 109 115 443.00 144 Mass. Maritime 0.00 0.00 0.00 106 110 107 162 153 454.00 145 Merchant Marine 0.00 0.00 0.00 153 163 151 86 85 442.00 146 Messiah 0.00 0.00 0.00 102 93 103 135 116 388.00 147 Millsaps 0.00 0.00 0.00 164 153 161 159 152 550.00 148 MIT 0.00 0.00 0.00 103 83 83 111 107 339.00 149 Mitchell 0.00 0.00 0.00 114 94 115 178 179 475.00 150 Mount Saint Mary 0.00 0.00 0.00 107 95 108 161 148 437.00 151 MSoE 0.00 0.00 0.00 182 176 181 92 109 503.00 152 Mt. St. Vincent 0.00 0.00 0.00 116 100 117 181 181 487.00 153 Muhlenberg 0.00 0.00 0.00 174 180 175 39 34 410.00 154 Neumann 0.00 0.00 0.00 131 103 131 167 165 482.00 155 Nichols 0.00 0.00 0.00 108 112 109 118 120 398.00 156 Oberlin 0.00 0.00 0.00 141 134 141 136 128 474.00 157 Oglethorpe 0.00 0.00 0.00 184 182 184 160 159 605.00 158 Penn State Abington 0.00 0.00 0.00 187 187 187 149 168 606.00 159 Piedmont 0.00 0.00 0.00 115 119 116 172 171 491.00 160 Potsdam 0.00 0.00 0.00 129 116 129 58 62 333.00 161 Randolph 0.00 0.00 0.00 168 172 168 80 84 462.00 162 Regis 0.00 0.00 0.00 154 148 152 163 158 543.00 163 Rhodes 0.00 0.00 0.00 171 164 171 154 151 563.00 164 Rivier 0.00 0.00 0.00 149 145 148 177 176 558.00 165 Rosemont 0.00 0.00 0.00 188 188 188 122 136 566.00 166 Saint Vincent 0.00 0.00 0.00 125 120 125 141 137 453.00 167 Salem State 0.00 0.00 0.00 158 154 157 120 127 494.00 168 Shenandoah 0.00 0.00 0.00 179 169 178 169 167 599.00 169 Skidmore 0.00 0.00 0.00 137 123 137 50 54 336.00 170 Southern Maine 0.00 0.00 0.00 132 125 132 88 81 385.00 171 Southwestern 0.00 0.00 0.00 142 129 142 115 114 443.00 172 St. Joseph's (ME) 0.00 0.00 0.00 104 96 104 157 149 431.00 173 Stockton 0.00 0.00 0.00 109 108 110 90 125 369.00 174 SUNY Canton 0.00 0.00 0.00 126 109 105 180 178 493.00 175 SUNYIT 0.00 0.00 0.00 176 181 173 145 163 581.00 176 Swarthmore 0.00 0.00 0.00 138 146 138 31 38 334.00 177 Thiel 0.00 0.00 0.00 165 161 162 186 180 600.00 178 Thomas 0.00 0.00 0.00 155 149 153 184 183 577.00 179 UMass Boston 0.00 0.00 0.00 170 174 170 93 91 482.00 180 Utica 0.00 0.00 0.00 95 104 95 110 110 363.00 181 Vassar 0.00 0.00 0.00 161 158 163 83 82 443.00 182 Washington & Jeffers 0.00 0.00 0.00 143 138 143 112 118 451.00 183 Wells 0.00 0.00 0.00 166 165 166 153 162 565.00 184 Wentworth Tech. 0.00 0.00 0.00 173 170 174 89 86 475.00 185 Wesley 0.00 0.00 0.00 177 171 177 79 77 464.00 186 Wheelock 0.00 0.00 0.00 189 189 189 189 189 660.00 187 Whittier 0.00 0.00 0.00 83 135 96 81 56 333.00 188 Williams 0.00 0.00 0.00 162 167 164 36 41 386.00 189 Wooster 0.00 0.00 0.00 128 136 127 100 73 399.00