College Statistics
 
 Mon May 15 13:00:00 EST 2015
 
  Return to Ratings, Stats & Probabilities
 
 
 
 
For an explanation of how the probabilities are calculated see Guide. Because there is some randomness
to the histogram, there is'not an exact linear relationship between the sum and itsprobability. That
is, there may be a case where a teamhas a lower sum but higher at-large probability.
 
The Division I Men s Lacrosse Championship is an 18-team, single-elimination tournament. Ten conferences
are eligible for automatic qualification.  However, the four lowest-ranked AQ teams, regardless of conference
RPI, will compete in play-in games to determine the final two teams in the 16-team bracket.
The remaining teams are selected at large.
 
Since 2012, when the method was introduced the results in predicting at-large teams is:
 
        2012:   8-8 or 100%
        2013:   8-8 or 100%
        2014:   8-8 or 100%
 
Teamname Tourn Auto At-Large Rank Sel. Qual. Sel. rpi qw sos rpi+qw+sos/2 W L T Prob. Prob. Prob. Sum 1 Albany 100.00 100.00 68.99 8 6 31 29.50 15 2 0 2 Bryant 100.00 100.00 0.00 28 40 21 78.50 8 9 0 3 Denver 100.00 100.00 100.00 5 4 10 14.00 13 2 0 4 High Point 100.00 100.00 1.12 27 25 39 71.50 10 6 0 5 Johns Hopkins 100.00 100.00 71.07 11 14 6 28.00 9 6 0 6 Marist 100.00 100.00 2.81 21 15 58 65.00 13 3 0 7 Syracuse 100.00 100.00 100.00 1 1 2 3.00 12 2 0 8 Towson 100.00 100.00 9.04 20 21 35 58.50 11 5 0 9 Yale 100.00 100.00 77.22 9 9 12 24.00 11 4 0 10 Duke 100.00 0.00 100.00 4 5 3 10.50 12 5 0 11 North Carolina 100.00 0.00 100.00 3 3 4 8.00 12 3 0 12 Notre Dame 100.00 0.00 100.00 2 2 1 4.50 10 2 0 13 Virginia 100.00 0.00 100.00 6 7 5 15.50 10 4 0 14 Cornell 78.34 0.00 78.34 10 10 7 23.50 10 5 0 15 Maryland 78.34 0.00 78.34 7 8 16 23.00 12 3 0 16 Georgetown 71.07 0.00 71.07 12 12 9 28.50 10 6 0 17 Brown 46.75 0.00 46.75 14 11 24 37.00 12 4 0 18 Ohio State 46.75 0.00 46.75 15 13 18 37.00 11 6 0 19 Colgate 39.08 0.00 39.08 13 20 15 40.50 10 5 0 20 Princeton 39.08 0.00 39.08 16 18 13 40.50 9 6 0 21 Harvard 26.32 0.00 26.32 18 23 8 45.00 7 7 0 22 Marquette 26.32 0.00 26.32 17 17 22 45.00 10 6 0 23 Navy 14.61 0.00 14.61 19 22 25 53.50 9 5 0 24 Army 4.00 0.00 4.00 24 24 29 62.50 10 7 0 25 Bucknell 3.98 0.00 3.98 23 26 30 64.00 9 6 0 26 Stony Brook 3.98 0.00 3.98 25 16 47 64.50 13 5 0 27 Richmond 1.09 0.00 1.09 29 19 54 75.00 11 5 0 28 Air Force 0.00 0.00 0.00 38 30 48 92.00 8 7 0 29 Bellarmine 0.00 0.00 0.00 59 50 59 138.50 4 8 0 30 Binghamton 0.00 0.00 0.00 53 56 36 127.00 4 9 0 31 Boston U. 0.00 0.00 0.00 41 37 37 96.50 6 8 0 32 Canisius 0.00 0.00 0.00 64 65 62 160.00 3 12 0 33 Dartmouth 0.00 0.00 0.00 45 35 34 97.00 5 8 0 34 Delaware 0.00 0.00 0.00 55 61 52 142.00 5 10 0 35 Detroit 0.00 0.00 0.00 43 31 63 105.50 8 6 0 36 Drexel 0.00 0.00 0.00 32 36 26 81.00 7 8 0 37 Fairfield 0.00 0.00 0.00 34 27 51 86.50 9 6 0 38 Furman 0.00 0.00 0.00 56 51 45 129.50 4 9 0 39 Hartford 0.00 0.00 0.00 44 42 46 109.00 7 8 0 40 Hobart 0.00 0.00 0.00 37 33 41 90.50 7 7 0 41 Hofstra 0.00 0.00 0.00 46 49 32 111.00 5 9 0 42 Holy Cross 0.00 0.00 0.00 40 38 38 97.00 6 7 0 43 Jacksonville 0.00 0.00 0.00 63 54 65 149.50 4 8 0 44 Lafayette 0.00 0.00 0.00 61 63 56 152.00 4 10 0 45 Lehigh 0.00 0.00 0.00 31 43 23 85.50 7 9 0 46 Loyola 0.00 0.00 0.00 22 32 11 59.50 7 8 0 47 Manhattan 0.00 0.00 0.00 65 68 50 158.00 1 14 0 48 Massachusetts 0.00 0.00 0.00 36 55 17 99.50 5 10 0 49 Mercer 0.00 0.00 0.00 49 45 43 115.50 5 8 0 50 Michigan 0.00 0.00 0.00 39 39 28 92.00 5 8 0 51 Monmouth 0.00 0.00 0.00 60 52 67 145.50 6 8 0 52 Mount St. Mary's 0.00 0.00 0.00 57 62 55 146.50 5 10 0 53 NJIT 0.00 0.00 0.00 69 66 68 169.00 0 12 0 54 Penn 0.00 0.00 0.00 26 28 14 61.00 6 7 0 55 Penn State 0.00 0.00 0.00 35 46 20 91.00 5 9 0 56 Providence 0.00 0.00 0.00 47 44 33 107.50 5 9 0 57 Quinnipiac 0.00 0.00 0.00 42 47 44 111.00 7 8 0 58 Robert Morris 0.00 0.00 0.00 62 64 49 150.50 3 11 0 59 Rutgers 0.00 0.00 0.00 51 57 40 128.00 5 10 0 60 Sacred Heart 0.00 0.00 0.00 50 41 60 121.00 6 7 0 61 Saint Joseph's 0.00 0.00 0.00 33 29 57 90.50 11 6 0 62 Siena 0.00 0.00 0.00 58 53 61 141.50 5 9 0 63 St. John's 0.00 0.00 0.00 52 58 27 123.50 3 11 0 64 UMass Lowell 0.00 0.00 0.00 68 67 66 168.00 1 13 0 65 UMBC 0.00 0.00 0.00 48 48 42 117.00 5 8 0 66 Vermont 0.00 0.00 0.00 54 59 53 139.50 6 10 0 67 Villanova 0.00 0.00 0.00 30 34 19 73.50 6 8 0 68 VMI 0.00 0.00 0.00 67 69 64 168.00 1 14 0 69 Wagner 0.00 0.00 0.00 66 60 69 160.50 4 9 0