Last year s predictions were 7 out of 8 or 87%.
 There were no adjustments made to the algorithm.
 
 
 

Probability for receiving an invitation to the NCAA Men s Division II Championship Tournament

The Division II Men s Lacrosse Championship consists of an eight-team, single-elimination tournament. Pairings are determined by regional alignments (North and South), with four teams being selected from each region. Teams must have a .500 or better record versus Division II opponents to be considered. There is no automatic qualification for the tournament. The prediction is based on the rankings of total record, in/region record, overall rpi, sos overall, sos in-region and record against teams with a winning record. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] Division II in region Won-loss record [2] Division II winning percentage [3] Division II strength of schedule [-] Division II head-to-head competion [-] Division II Common opponents Secondary Factors for Selecting Teams [4] Division II results vs teams with a winning record [5] In-region strength of schedule [6] Ratings Percentage Index Probabilities are based on current data. As rankings and records change, so do the probabilities. NORTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Adelphi 100.00 3 1 4 2 1 9 14 2 0 15 3 0 2 Merrimack 100.00 4 3 3 4 2 1 13 3 0 14 3 0 3 Le Moyne 45.77 4 3 5 8 3 5 13 3 0 14 3 0 4 NYIT 40.96 4 2 6 4 9 22 11 2 0 14 3 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Pace 38.44 11 6 9 12 8 2 12 4 0 12 4 0 6 Mercy 31.75 15 5 15 12 16 12 12 3 0 12 5 0 7 Saint Anselm 23.08 24 9 21 33 21 4 8 6 0 8 6 0 8 S. New Hampshire 19.99 22 9 30 30 26 18 8 6 0 9 6 0 9 LIU Post 0.00 29 11 32 36 18 13 7 7 0 8 8 0 10 Chestnut Hill 0.00 21 7 23 26 39 17 8 3 0 8 5 0 11 Molloy 0.00 19 8 27 42 42 15 7 5 0 9 5 0 12 Bentley 0.00 37 13 31 36 22 19 5 7 0 6 7 0 13 Assumption 0.00 37 12 34 33 30 8 6 7 0 6 7 0 14 Saint Rose 0.00 56 17 42 42 20 7 4 10 0 4 11 0 15 Franklin Pierce 0.00 52 16 43 42 40 11 4 9 0 4 9 0 16 American Internation 0.00 64 23 56 42 24 6 1 16 0 1 16 0 17 U. of DC 0.00 44 14 46 42 52 14 4 6 0 5 7 0 18 Saint Michael's 0.00 59 21 49 42 38 10 2 10 0 2 10 0 19 Post 0.00 46 15 51 28 59 20 5 8 0 5 8 0 20 Dominican C. 0.00 45 18 52 42 56 16 3 8 0 6 9 0 21 Roberts Wesleyan 0.00 57 22 48 42 50 3 1 9 0 4 12 0 22 Georgian Court 0.00 50 20 54 42 55 21 3 11 0 5 11 0 23 Saint Thomas Aquinas 0.00 48 19 53 42 63 23 3 9 0 5 10 0 SOUTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Limestone 100.00 1 1 1 1 4 3 19 0 0 19 1 0 2 Tampa 100.00 9 3 2 7 7 13 14 3 0 15 4 0 3 Lenoir-Rhyne 39.79 7 4 7 8 12 5 12 3 0 12 3 0 4 Wingate 38.75 10 7 8 4 10 4 13 4 0 13 4 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Belmont Abbey 36.30 15 9 12 15 5 2 12 5 0 12 5 0 6 Queens U. of Charlot 30.17 23 14 10 19 6 1 10 7 0 10 7 0 7 Seton Hill 27.84 11 10 13 10 17 37 9 4 0 12 4 0 8 Colorado Mesa 27.14 2 2 11 3 43 28 14 2 0 16 2 0 9 Mount Olive 0.00 18 11 22 12 23 7 11 5 0 11 5 0 10 Tusculum 0.00 13 8 20 16 28 11 11 4 0 11 4 0 11 Mercyhurst 0.00 7 5 18 16 34 30 10 3 0 12 3 0 12 Lindenwood 0.00 14 5 25 16 33 27 10 3 0 10 4 0 13 Florida Tech 0.00 27 15 14 22 14 21 7 6 0 8 7 0 14 Florida Southern 0.00 34 15 17 21 13 9 7 6 0 7 8 0 15 Rollins 0.00 29 15 16 24 19 15 7 6 0 7 7 0 16 Lake Erie 0.00 34 27 29 24 11 6 6 8 0 7 8 0 17 Saint Leo 0.00 19 13 26 10 35 40 8 5 0 9 5 0 18 Indianapolis 0.00 26 15 33 30 31 16 7 6 0 7 6 0 19 Lynn 0.00 37 28 19 27 15 12 5 7 0 6 7 0 20 North Greenville 0.00 29 20 38 42 25 8 9 9 0 9 9 0 21 Westminster 0.00 25 20 24 22 36 17 7 7 0 9 7 0 22 Rockhurst 0.00 15 12 28 20 53 35 9 5 0 12 5 0 23 Catawba 0.00 29 19 36 36 29 25 8 7 0 8 8 0 24 Wheeling Jesuit 0.00 43 23 35 41 27 23 6 7 0 6 8 0 25 Adams State 0.00 46 30 40 28 32 10 5 8 0 5 8 0 26 Mars Hill 0.00 37 23 39 36 41 20 6 7 0 6 7 0 27 Young Harris 0.00 34 22 47 42 47 26 7 8 0 7 8 0 28 Lincoln Memorial 0.00 27 23 37 33 61 32 6 7 0 8 7 0 29 CSU Pueblo 0.00 29 29 41 30 54 36 4 6 0 6 6 0 30 Coker 0.00 53 33 50 42 37 18 4 10 0 4 10 0 31 Notre Dame de Namur 0.00 48 36 59 42 46 14 1 4 0 5 10 0 32 Pfeiffer 0.00 42 30 45 42 57 29 5 8 0 7 9 0 33 Alabama Huntsville 0.00 37 23 58 42 66 43 6 7 0 6 7 0 34 Walsh 0.00 57 33 44 36 48 34 4 10 0 4 12 0 35 Emmanuel (GA) 0.00 62 39 64 42 45 19 1 12 0 1 12 0 36 Maryville 0.00 65 41 55 42 44 22 0 13 0 0 14 0 37 Chowan 0.00 62 39 65 42 51 24 1 12 0 1 12 0 38 Alderson Broaddus 0.00 61 41 62 42 49 31 0 10 0 1 11 0 39 Lees-McRae 0.00 50 33 60 42 65 42 4 10 0 5 11 0 40 Davis & Elkins 0.00 53 32 63 42 64 41 4 7 0 4 10 0 41 Ohio Valley 0.00 53 37 57 42 62 39 2 9 0 4 10 0 42 Brevard 0.00 60 38 61 42 58 33 2 11 0 2 14 0 43 Shorter 0.00 65 41 66 42 60 38 0 12 0 0 13 0