Last years predictions were 7 out of 8 or 87.5%.
 The past two years predictions were 14 out of 16 or' 87.5%.
 There were no adjustments made to the algorithm.
 
 
 

Probability for receiving an invitation to the NCAA Men s Division II Championship Tournament

The Division II Men s Lacrosse Championship consists of an eight-team, single-elimination tournament. Pairings are determined by regional alignments (North and South), with four teams being selected from each region. Teams must have a .500 or better record versus Division II opponents to be considered. There is no automatic qualification for the tournament. The prediction is based on the rankings of total record, in/region record, overall rpi, sos overall, sos in-region and record against teams with a winning record. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] Division II in region Won-loss record [2] Division II winning percentage [3] Division II strength of schedule [-] Division II head-to-head competition [-] Division II Common opponents Secondary Factors for Selecting Teams [4] Division II results vs teams with a winning record [5] In-region strength of schedule [6] In-region Ratings Percentage Index Probabilities are based on current data. As rankings and records change, so do the probabilities. NORTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Merrimack 82.86 3 2 1 2 1 2 15 1 0 15 1 0 2 Seton Hill 54.89 2 1 7 4 17 14 13 0 0 16 1 0 3 NYIT 49.57 16 4 5 12 2 13 13 2 0 13 4 0 4 Le Moyne 47.68 3 3 6 3 20 16 14 1 0 15 1 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Adelphi 42.93 19 5 12 16 6 3 11 4 0 11 4 0 6 Saint Anselm 38.56 22 7 15 20 4 1 11 5 0 11 5 0 7 LIU Post 30.90 25 8 21 17 8 5 10 5 0 10 5 0 8 Mercyhurst 29.18 25 10 17 20 3 18 7 4 0 10 5 0 9 Lake Erie 23.43 12 6 22 14 27 27 8 3 0 11 3 0 10 Mercy 0.00 25 8 33 27 30 8 10 5 0 10 5 0 11 Pace 0.00 49 14 30 32 7 4 7 7 0 7 7 0 12 Saint Rose 0.00 47 13 37 42 14 9 9 7 0 9 8 0 13 Wheeling Jesuit 0.00 59 17 47 60 13 29 4 6 0 6 9 0 14 Assumption 0.00 42 14 42 66 42 12 6 6 0 7 6 0 15 Molloy 0.00 38 11 40 52 49 26 8 5 0 9 7 0 16 Bentley 0.00 62 18 43 52 26 7 5 8 0 5 8 0 17 Franklin Pierce 0.00 62 18 53 66 34 10 5 8 0 5 8 0 18 Chestnut Hill 0.00 58 21 69 52 51 15 5 10 0 7 10 0 19 Saint Michael's 0.00 71 24 64 52 40 11 4 10 0 4 10 0 20 Georgian Court 0.00 31 12 66 66 83 30 8 6 0 11 6 0 21 Roberts Wesleyan 0.00 59 20 55 52 60 19 5 9 0 6 9 0 22 U. of DC 0.00 44 16 57 32 85 28 5 7 0 8 7 0 23 St. Thomas Aquinas 0.00 68 21 60 52 53 17 4 8 0 5 10 0 24 American Internation 0.00 89 30 78 66 24 6 1 15 0 1 15 0 25 S. New Hampshire 0.00 66 23 50 60 65 21 4 9 0 5 9 0 26 Walsh 0.00 85 27 74 66 41 24 2 8 0 2 11 0 27 Alderson Broaddus 0.00 74 25 73 66 86 23 2 6 0 3 8 0 28 Ohio Valley 0.00 75 28 80 66 81 25 2 9 0 3 9 0 29 Post 0.00 86 29 87 66 70 22 1 11 0 2 12 0 30 Davis & Elkins 0.00 90 31 88 66 69 20 0 10 0 0 12 0 31 Dominican C. 0.00 80 25 86 66 88 31 2 6 0 3 11 0 SOUTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Lenoir-Rhyne 83.08 6 1 3 6 11 11 13 2 0 16 2 0 2 Tampa 74.17 11 5 4 10 9 2 12 4 0 15 4 0 3 Saint Leo 65.18 7 2 2 6 22 8 11 2 0 14 2 0 4 Colorado Mesa 49.13 9 3 13 8 29 6 14 3 0 16 3 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Belmont Abbey 46.47 13 4 19 12 21 13 13 4 0 14 4 0 6 Wingate 28.61 22 8 14 17 25 17 10 4 0 11 5 0 7 Florida Tech 27.31 34 14 16 17 12 9 6 6 0 9 6 0 8 Limestone 26.06 36 11 28 32 5 12 11 6 0 11 8 0 9 Mount Olive 0.00 22 8 34 27 23 18 10 4 0 11 5 0 10 Rockhurst 0.00 10 5 18 14 56 16 9 3 0 14 3 0 11 Indianapolis 0.00 25 7 23 20 33 24 8 3 0 10 5 0 12 Queens U. of Charlot 0.00 38 13 26 40 15 1 8 7 0 9 7 0 13 Rollins 0.00 49 14 25 26 10 4 5 5 0 7 7 0 14 Florida Southern 0.00 44 19 32 31 18 3 5 6 0 8 7 0 15 Young Harris 0.00 16 8 39 20 57 15 10 4 0 13 4 0 16 Lynn 0.00 34 14 38 32 38 20 6 6 0 9 6 0 17 Lindenwood 0.00 57 21 36 52 35 7 4 7 0 6 7 0 18 Lincoln Memorial 0.00 13 12 41 42 91 31 7 4 0 14 4 0 19 CSU Pueblo 0.00 54 20 44 39 52 21 5 7 0 7 8 0 20 Catawba 0.00 59 23 49 46 47 14 5 9 0 6 9 0 21 North Greenville 0.00 53 18 56 46 54 26 7 8 0 8 9 0 22 Tusculum 0.00 69 26 65 49 39 10 3 9 0 4 9 0 23 Westminster (UT) 0.00 48 14 35 60 76 27 8 8 0 10 9 0 24 Mars Hill 0.00 86 32 71 66 28 5 1 12 0 2 12 0 25 Alabama Huntsville 0.00 38 21 70 66 80 32 4 7 0 9 7 0 26 Coker 0.00 54 24 59 49 74 25 4 8 0 7 8 0 27 Chowan 0.00 49 25 79 66 75 22 3 7 0 8 8 0 28 Maryville 0.00 70 27 68 60 64 30 2 10 0 5 12 0 29 Adams State 0.00 78 27 72 66 71 19 2 10 0 3 10 0 30 Notre Dame de Namur 0.00 75 29 82 66 79 29 1 6 0 3 9 0 31 Lees-McRae 0.00 79 30 76 66 78 23 1 7 0 2 7 0 32 Emmanuel (GA) 0.00 90 33 90 66 73 28 0 11 0 0 15 0 33 Shorter 0.00 88 31 91 66 89 33 1 10 0 1 13 0