College Statistics
 
 Tue May 29 20:48:53 EDT 2012
 
 Return to Ratings, Stats & Probabilities
 
For an explanation of how the probabilities are calculated see Guide. Because there is some randomness to the histogram, there is not an exact linear relationship between the sum and its probability. That is, there may be a case where a team has a lower sum but higher at-large probability. Click on teams below for a breakdown on the team selection factors.
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Teamname Tourn Auto At-Large W-L Percentage SOS Sel. Qual. Sel. Totl Div Reg Totl Div Sum Prob. Prob. Prob. *0.5 *0.5 *0.5 5 clms 1 Christopher Newport 100.00 100.00 38.37 20 54 19 19 54 93.00 2 Cortland 100.00 100.00 100.00 1 4 3 3 4 8.00 3 Denison 100.00 100.00 53.09 16 28 28 32 28 74.00 4 FDU-Florham 100.00 100.00 7.41 35 90 48 47 90 172.50 5 Gettysburg 100.00 100.00 97.67 5 12 4 4 12 21.00 6 Montclair State 100.00 100.00 21.98 38 64 43 41 64 144.00 7 Rensselaer 100.00 100.00 21.11 10 102 6 6 102 118.00 8 St. John Fisher 100.00 100.00 50.63 33 21 31 30 21 84.50 9 Salisbury 100.00 0.00 100.00 3 2 1 1 2 7.00 10 Trinity (CT) 100.00 0.00 100.00 7 5 2 2 5 16.50 11 Franklin & Marshall 97.87 0.00 97.87 9 7 16 14 7 34.50 12 College of New Jerse 97.67 0.00 97.67 6 16 17 16 16 46.50 13 Catholic (DC) 97.56 0.00 97.56 8 3 36 37 3 49.00 14 Colby 93.02 0.00 93.02 17 17 13 12 17 55.00 15 Messiah 71.67 0.00 71.67 27 20 18 18 20 75.00 16 Middlebury 63.93 0.00 63.93 49 1 29 28 1 79.00 17 Mary Washington 62.86 0.00 62.86 26 14 34 34 14 81.00 18 Amherst 60.56 0.00 60.56 31 9 37 38 9 82.00 19 Redlands 56.58 0.00 56.58 4 51 5 5 51 85.50 20 Ithaca 44.71 0.00 44.71 24 39 24 24 39 106.50 21 Buffalo State 43.53 0.00 43.53 39 8 51 54 8 103.50 22 Washington & Lee 43.53 0.00 43.53 23 34 32 31 34 105.50 23 Bridgewater State 40.51 40.00 0.85 51 133 69 69 133 319.50 24 Fredonia 40.24 0.00 40.24 48 19 33 33 19 109.50 25 Wittenberg 40.24 0.00 40.24 19 38 42 40 38 117.00 26 York 40.24 0.00 40.24 22 35 35 35 35 109.50 27 Susquehanna 37.21 0.00 37.21 21 66 7 8 66 127.50 28 Elizabethtown 37.08 0.00 37.08 42 23 47 46 23 123.00 29 Adrian 35.63 0.00 35.63 13 67 11 11 67 124.50 30 Keene State 34.34 0.00 34.34 25 59 23 27 59 138.50 31 Bowdoin 33.68 0.00 33.68 60 10 61 59 10 135.00 32 Westfield State 33.00 33.00 0.00 93 141 91 92 141 396.00 33 Occidental 27.96 0.00 27.96 41 52 25 29 52 146.00 34 Framingham State 27.00 27.00 0.00 81 179 84 84 179 433.50 35 Sewanee 25.29 0.00 25.29 62 25 58 56 25 156.50 36 Stevens 25.00 0.00 25.00 65 13 76 75 13 160.00 37 Colorado College 24.71 0.00 24.71 11 83 14 21 83 153.00 38 Springfield 24.71 0.00 24.71 50 18 77 76 18 153.50 39 Endicott 23.26 0.00 23.26 44 37 53 52 37 152.00 40 Oneonta 23.26 0.00 23.26 53 44 30 36 44 152.00 41 Tufts 23.26 0.00 23.26 77 11 71 71 11 164.50 42 Babson 21.98 0.00 21.98 29 89 15 13 89 176.50 43 Castleton State 21.61 13.00 9.90 63 57 59 57 57 206.50 44 Brockport 21.11 0.00 21.11 66 36 50 49 36 169.50 45 Fitchburg State 21.00 21.00 0.00 105 158 127 128 158 469.50 46 Plymouth State 20.39 0.00 20.39 18 103 10 10 103 182.50 47 Norwich 14.58 0.00 14.58 14 110 8 7 110 186.50 48 Stevenson 13.00 0.00 13.00 73 26 83 83 26 195.00 49 Geneseo 12.24 0.00 12.24 84 29 70 70 29 197.50 50 Washington College 12.24 0.00 12.24 68 45 62 61 45 197.00 51 Salem State 12.00 12.00 0.00 76 197 80 79 197 451.00 52 Rowan 11.70 0.00 11.70 61 46 75 74 46 204.50 53 Farmingdale 10.31 0.00 10.31 12 123 9 9 123 205.50 54 Worcester State 8.00 8.00 0.00 178 178 189 190 178 634.50 55 Swarthmore 5.88 0.00 5.88 59 72 54 53 72 220.50 56 Alvernia 4.21 0.00 4.21 69 61 67 67 61 227.50 57 Centre 4.17 0.00 4.17 67 78 38 51 78 228.50 58 Wooster 4.17 0.00 4.17 56 74 55 62 74 225.50 59 Lasell 4.12 0.00 4.12 30 122 20 20 122 233.00 60 Lynchburg 4.12 0.00 4.12 43 77 64 64 77 222.50 61 Univ of New England 4.08 0.00 4.08 55 91 41 45 91 234.50 62 Gordon 4.04 0.00 4.04 36 114 22 22 114 229.00 63 Wheaton 4.04 0.00 4.04 47 93 44 42 93 229.50 64 RIT 3.96 0.00 3.96 85 84 74 80 84 288.00 65 Shenandoah 3.88 0.00 3.88 15 154 39 25 154 278.00 66 Salve Regina 3.81 0.00 3.81 58 118 57 55 118 291.00 67 Carthage 3.77 0.00 3.77 34 138 40 39 138 280.50 68 Skidmore 3.74 0.00 3.74 103 73 81 81 73 293.50 69 Lebanon Valley 3.67 0.00 3.67 78 86 89 90 86 296.50 70 St. Lawrence 3.67 0.00 3.67 91 82 82 82 82 296.00 71 Ursinus 3.54 0.00 3.54 95 50 90 91 50 260.50 72 Roanoke 3.06 0.00 3.06 79 58 65 65 58 231.00 73 Bates 3.03 0.00 3.03 98 15 110 110 15 230.50 74 Union 3.03 0.00 3.03 83 31 116 116 31 245.50 75 Dickinson 2.75 0.00 2.75 108 27 121 122 27 270.00 76 Scranton 2.75 0.00 2.75 87 63 66 66 63 247.50 77 Marywood 2.73 0.00 2.73 40 127 27 17 127 252.50 78 Augustana 2.65 0.00 2.65 32 170 12 15 170 300.50 79 Hamilton 2.65 0.00 2.65 129 6 128 129 6 266.50 80 Guilford 2.63 0.00 2.63 57 94 63 63 94 261.00 81 William Smith 2.61 0.00 2.61 94 47 103 103 47 267.50 82 Washington & Jeffers 1.90 0.00 1.90 46 113 26 26 113 241.50 83 Western Connecticut 1.85 0.00 1.85 80 81 72 72 81 273.50 84 Kean 1.08 0.00 1.08 75 119 98 89 119 347.00 85 Nichols 1.08 0.00 1.08 106 132 114 114 132 418.00 86 Mount Holyoke 1.06 0.00 1.06 111 75 124 125 75 348.00 87 St. Joseph's (NY) 1.06 0.00 1.06 64 121 101 101 121 346.50 88 Goucher 1.05 0.00 1.05 143 43 151 150 43 358.00 89 Oswego 1.05 0.00 1.05 158 68 167 168 68 427.50 90 Marymount 1.03 0.00 1.03 126 53 152 151 53 357.00 91 Keuka 1.01 0.00 1.01 37 189 21 23 189 342.50 92 Williams 1.01 0.00 1.01 161 32 134 133 32 342.50 93 Kenyon 1.00 0.00 1.00 120 71 112 113 71 339.00 94 Muhlenberg 0.98 0.00 0.98 144 88 137 135 88 412.00 95 New Paltz 0.98 0.00 0.98 155 85 129 130 85 412.00 96 Regis (MA) 0.98 0.00 0.98 45 216 45 43 216 413.00 97 Centenary 0.97 0.00 0.97 71 163 52 50 163 366.50 98 Greensboro 0.97 0.00 0.97 125 97 145 143 97 414.50 99 McDaniel 0.97 0.00 0.97 175 30 146 145 30 365.50 100 Neumann 0.97 0.00 0.97 89 164 73 73 164 408.00 101 Ohio Wesleyan 0.97 0.00 0.97 109 105 100 100 105 366.50 102 Curry 0.96 0.00 0.96 128 92 142 138 92 406.00 103 New England College 0.95 0.00 0.95 122 125 93 94 125 403.00 104 Ferrum 0.92 0.00 0.92 72 181 56 60 181 401.50 105 Eastern Connecticut 0.90 0.00 0.90 70 116 60 58 116 303.00 106 Cabrini 0.88 0.00 0.88 96 80 92 93 80 308.50 107 Drew 0.85 0.00 0.85 141 48 106 106 48 319.00 108 Agnes Scott 0.00 0.00 0.00 199 151 198 197 151 623.00 109 Albion 0.00 0.00 0.00 204 100 212 211 100 565.50 110 Albright 0.00 0.00 0.00 182 185 180 180 185 639.50 111 Alfred 0.00 0.00 0.00 165 134 165 160 134 528.50 112 Allegheny 0.00 0.00 0.00 117 79 95 96 79 331.00 113 Alma 0.00 0.00 0.00 97 172 136 97 172 471.50 114 Anna Maria 0.00 0.00 0.00 191 174 199 198 174 650.50 115 Arcadia 0.00 0.00 0.00 116 192 104 104 192 508.00 116 Bard 0.00 0.00 0.00 205 171 157 156 171 618.00 117 Becker 0.00 0.00 0.00 174 212 192 193 212 684.50 118 Berry 0.00 0.00 0.00 99 104 68 68 104 323.00 119 Birmingham-Southern 0.00 0.00 0.00 166 70 96 142 70 390.00 120 Bridgewater 0.00 0.00 0.00 138 157 139 136 157 511.00 121 Bryn Mawr 0.00 0.00 0.00 192 150 188 186 150 604.00 122 Canton 0.00 0.00 0.00 179 161 191 187 161 609.50 123 Cazenovia 0.00 0.00 0.00 74 193 88 88 193 451.50 124 Cedar Crest 0.00 0.00 0.00 201 187 210 210 187 691.50 125 Claremont-Mudd-Scrip 0.00 0.00 0.00 137 33 140 148 33 330.50 126 Clarkson 0.00 0.00 0.00 123 143 111 111 143 448.50 127 Colby-Sawyer 0.00 0.00 0.00 140 128 105 105 128 437.00 128 Concordia-Wisconsin 0.00 0.00 0.00 183 142 182 191 142 582.50 129 Connecticut College 0.00 0.00 0.00 132 40 141 137 40 331.00 130 Dallas 0.00 0.00 0.00 200 135 193 194 135 596.00 131 Daniel Webster 0.00 0.00 0.00 118 209 122 124 209 554.50 132 Eastern 0.00 0.00 0.00 114 95 118 119 95 375.00 133 Elmira 0.00 0.00 0.00 124 108 97 112 108 390.50 134 Elms 0.00 0.00 0.00 206 208 213 212 208 730.50 135 Emerson 0.00 0.00 0.00 88 137 86 86 137 379.50 136 Emmanuel 0.00 0.00 0.00 142 152 150 149 152 519.50 137 Fontbonne 0.00 0.00 0.00 207 205 214 213 205 728.00 138 Frostburg State 0.00 0.00 0.00 154 22 177 188 22 369.50 139 Green Mountain 0.00 0.00 0.00 167 167 194 195 167 612.00 140 Gwynedd-Mercy 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 153 119 120 153 449.00 141 Hartwick 0.00 0.00 0.00 168 87 158 157 87 456.00 142 Haverford 0.00 0.00 0.00 119 42 143 139 42 323.00 143 Hollins 0.00 0.00 0.00 202 188 211 207 188 693.00 144 Hood 0.00 0.00 0.00 208 107 206 205 107 574.00 145 Husson 0.00 0.00 0.00 101 139 183 182 139 492.00 146 Immaculata 0.00 0.00 0.00 169 191 178 178 191 633.50 147 King's 0.00 0.00 0.00 102 168 85 85 168 439.00 148 LaGrange 0.00 0.00 0.00 133 195 172 164 195 593.50 149 Lancaster Bible 0.00 0.00 0.00 184 207 200 200 207 694.50 150 Linfield 0.00 0.00 0.00 193 199 204 199 199 693.00 151 Lycoming 0.00 0.00 0.00 187 106 163 165 106 510.00 152 Maine-Farmington 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 177 117 118 177 385.00 153 Manhattanville 0.00 0.00 0.00 160 98 181 181 98 488.00 154 Maritime 0.00 0.00 0.00 209 180 195 192 180 672.50 155 Mass. Maritime 0.00 0.00 0.00 194 206 201 201 206 704.00 156 Mass.-Dartmouth 0.00 0.00 0.00 156 146 164 166 146 540.00 157 Medaille 0.00 0.00 0.00 82 198 99 98 198 477.50 158 Methodist 0.00 0.00 0.00 110 190 123 117 190 515.00 159 Millsaps 0.00 0.00 0.00 188 156 184 173 156 600.50 160 Misericordia 0.00 0.00 0.00 153 120 173 174 120 506.50 161 MIT 0.00 0.00 0.00 190 65 205 203 65 491.50 162 Morrisville 0.00 0.00 0.00 28 165 49 48 165 324.00 163 Mount Ida 0.00 0.00 0.00 162 148 174 175 148 558.50 164 Mount Saint Mary 0.00 0.00 0.00 115 175 113 99 175 483.50 165 Mount Saint Vincent 0.00 0.00 0.00 170 173 161 161 173 590.50 166 Mount St. Joseph 0.00 0.00 0.00 157 147 166 167 147 544.00 167 Nazareth 0.00 0.00 0.00 121 56 131 131 56 336.00 168 No. Carolina Wesleya 0.00 0.00 0.00 210 183 215 214 183 699.00 169 North Central 0.00 0.00 0.00 134 140 144 140 140 486.00 170 Notre Dame (MD) 0.00 0.00 0.00 112 202 115 115 202 530.00 171 Oberlin 0.00 0.00 0.00 52 182 46 44 182 370.00 172 Olivet 0.00 0.00 0.00 195 204 202 204 204 704.00 173 Otterbein 0.00 0.00 0.00 145 166 159 158 166 552.50 174 Pacific (OR) 0.00 0.00 0.00 54 169 78 77 169 385.00 175 Penn State-Abington 0.00 0.00 0.00 146 201 168 169 201 616.00 176 Pomona-Pitzer 0.00 0.00 0.00 130 96 130 123 96 400.50 177 Potsdam 0.00 0.00 0.00 159 41 160 159 41 380.00 178 Puget Sound 0.00 0.00 0.00 176 117 186 185 117 537.00 179 Ramapo 0.00 0.00 0.00 185 136 162 162 136 551.00 180 Randolph 0.00 0.00 0.00 163 160 175 176 160 578.50 181 Randolph-Macon 0.00 0.00 0.00 107 145 120 121 145 445.00 182 Rhode Island College 0.00 0.00 0.00 164 99 176 177 99 489.00 183 Rivier 0.00 0.00 0.00 127 131 125 126 131 449.00 184 Rochester 0.00 0.00 0.00 211 111 203 202 111 580.00 185 Roger Williams 0.00 0.00 0.00 135 55 153 152 55 370.00 186 Rosemont 0.00 0.00 0.00 212 200 216 215 200 727.50 187 Rutgers-Camden 0.00 0.00 0.00 177 159 169 170 159 585.00 188 Sage 0.00 0.00 0.00 213 184 209 209 184 698.00 189 Saint Joseph 0.00 0.00 0.00 171 194 187 183 194 647.00 190 Saint Joseph's (ME) 0.00 0.00 0.00 86 155 79 78 155 397.00 191 Saint Vincent 0.00 0.00 0.00 196 124 138 153 124 527.50 192 Simmons 0.00 0.00 0.00 104 115 107 107 115 383.50 193 Smith 0.00 0.00 0.00 90 130 94 95 130 379.50 194 Southern Maine 0.00 0.00 0.00 152 62 135 134 62 379.50 195 St. Elizabeth 0.00 0.00 0.00 197 214 170 171 214 688.50 196 St. Mary's (MD) 0.00 0.00 0.00 113 76 108 108 76 335.00 197 SUNYIT 0.00 0.00 0.00 147 203 171 163 203 618.50 198 Sweet Briar 0.00 0.00 0.00 172 176 179 179 176 615.00 199 Thiel 0.00 0.00 0.00 214 149 132 144 149 575.50 200 Thomas 0.00 0.00 0.00 148 186 126 127 186 553.50 201 Trine 0.00 0.00 0.00 180 144 185 184 144 580.50 202 Trinity (DC) 0.00 0.00 0.00 215 215 207 206 215 744.00 203 Utica 0.00 0.00 0.00 92 126 87 87 126 368.00 204 Vassar 0.00 0.00 0.00 186 69 154 154 69 443.50 205 Virginia Wesleyan 0.00 0.00 0.00 149 101 147 146 101 447.00 206 Waynesburg 0.00 0.00 0.00 216 129 196 216 129 615.50 207 Wellesley 0.00 0.00 0.00 131 60 148 147 60 368.50 208 Wells 0.00 0.00 0.00 189 196 190 189 196 672.50 209 Wesley 0.00 0.00 0.00 181 162 109 109 162 533.00 210 Wesleyan (CT) 0.00 0.00 0.00 173 24 155 172 24 372.50 211 Western New England 0.00 0.00 0.00 150 49 156 155 49 379.00 212 Wheelock 0.00 0.00 0.00 203 210 208 208 210 726.00 213 Whittier 0.00 0.00 0.00 136 112 149 141 112 449.00 214 Widener 0.00 0.00 0.00 139 109 133 132 109 435.00 215 Wilkes 0.00 0.00 0.00 151 211 102 102 211 569.50 216 Wilson 0.00 0.00 0.00 198 213 197 196 213 714.00