College Statistics
 
 Mon May 15 13:00:00 EST 2015
 
  Return to Ratings, Stats & Probabilities
 
 
For an explanation of how the probabilities are calculated see Guide.Because there is some randomness
to the histogram, there is not an exact linear relationship betweenthe sum and its probability.
That is, there may be a case where a team has a lower sum but higher at-large probability.
The NCAA Division I Women s Lacrosse Championship is a 26-team single-elimination tournament, with
the top 8 teams seeded. Thirteen conferences receive a berth via automatic qualification (AQ).
The remaining 13 teams are selected at large.
 
Since 2012, when the method was introduced the results predicting at-large teams the past three years is:
 
        31 out of 34 or 91%
 
 
Teamname Tourn Auto At-Large Rank Sel. Qual. Sel. rpi sos rpi+sos W L T Prob. Prob Prob. Sum 1 Bryant 100.00 100.00 0.00 47 89 136 14 5 0 2 Florida 100.00 100.00 89.22 13 12 25 15 6 0 3 James Madison 100.00 100.00 68.94 12 16 28 15 5 0 4 Massachusetts 100.00 100.00 4.51 15 44 59 19 2 0 5 Princeton 100.00 100.00 100.00 6 11 17 16 4 0 6 Stony Brook 100.00 100.00 91.00 5 19 24 18 2 0 7 Duke 100.00 0.00 100.00 4 6 10 16 5 0 8 Maryland 100.00 0.00 100.00 1 3 4 21 1 0 9 North Carolina 100.00 0.00 100.00 2 2 4 18 4 0 10 Northwestern 100.00 0.00 100.00 9 5 14 14 7 0 11 Penn State 100.00 0.00 100.00 7 8 15 16 5 0 12 Syracuse 100.00 0.00 100.00 3 1 4 16 8 0 13 Virginia 100.00 0.00 100.00 8 4 12 12 7 0 14 Boston College 91.00 0.00 91.00 10 14 24 15 4 0 15 Loyola 91.00 0.00 91.00 11 13 24 17 5 0 16 Notre Dame 59.23 0.00 59.23 21 9 30 11 9 0 17 Penn 29.42 0.00 29.42 16 22 38 14 5 0 18 Towson 18.69 0.00 18.69 26 15 41 9 9 0 19 Southern California 11.61 0.00 11.61 19 25 44 14 6 0 20 Louisville 9.89 0.00 9.89 24 21 45 10 8 0 21 Ohio State 9.89 0.00 9.89 22 23 45 13 8 0 22 Stanford 9.89 0.00 9.89 14 31 45 15 3 0 23 Johns Hopkins 6.94 0.00 6.94 17 29 46 14 4 0 24 Jacksonville 5.96 0.00 5.96 18 43 61 17 3 0 25 Cornell 5.56 0.00 5.56 25 24 49 9 7 0 26 Hofstra 5.56 0.00 5.56 23 26 49 11 6 0 27 Delaware 4.43 0.00 4.43 29 35 64 11 7 0 28 Albany 4.20 0.00 4.20 20 33 53 14 5 0 29 Harvard 3.12 0.00 3.12 35 32 67 8 8 0 30 Vermont 1.66 0.00 1.66 34 38 72 11 7 0 31 Denver 1.59 0.00 1.59 27 50 77 13 5 0 32 Canisius 1.58 0.00 1.58 30 46 76 13 6 0 33 Elon 1.58 0.00 1.58 39 37 76 8 8 0 34 Richmond 1.58 0.00 1.58 36 40 76 10 9 0 35 Connecticut 1.56 0.00 1.56 33 36 69 11 7 0 36 American 0.00 0.00 0.00 85 62 147 4 12 0 37 Binghamton 0.00 0.00 0.00 76 74 150 6 11 0 38 Boston University 0.00 0.00 0.00 52 41 93 8 10 0 39 Brown 0.00 0.00 0.00 59 53 112 7 8 0 40 Bucknell 0.00 0.00 0.00 97 75 172 2 15 0 41 California 0.00 0.00 0.00 84 48 132 3 13 0 42 Campbell 0.00 0.00 0.00 92 90 182 5 13 0 43 Central Connecticut 0.00 0.00 0.00 71 70 141 6 10 0 44 Cincinnati 0.00 0.00 0.00 90 59 149 2 15 0 45 Coastal Carolina 0.00 0.00 0.00 69 99 168 11 6 0 46 Colgate 0.00 0.00 0.00 43 71 114 10 6 0 47 Colorado 0.00 0.00 0.00 46 69 115 11 7 0 48 Columbia 0.00 0.00 0.00 83 78 161 5 10 0 49 Dartmouth 0.00 0.00 0.00 61 18 79 3 11 0 50 Davidson 0.00 0.00 0.00 72 73 145 6 10 0 51 Delaware State 0.00 0.00 0.00 107 107 214 2 13 0 52 Detroit 0.00 0.00 0.00 70 94 164 10 8 0 53 Drexel 0.00 0.00 0.00 55 20 75 4 12 0 54 Duquesne 0.00 0.00 0.00 60 66 126 9 9 0 55 Fairfield 0.00 0.00 0.00 28 57 85 14 5 0 56 Fresno State 0.00 0.00 0.00 82 64 146 4 11 0 57 Furman 0.00 0.00 0.00 67 86 153 10 7 0 58 Gardner-Webb 0.00 0.00 0.00 106 102 208 1 16 0 59 George Mason 0.00 0.00 0.00 44 60 104 10 7 0 60 George Washington 0.00 0.00 0.00 68 54 122 6 10 0 61 Georgetown 0.00 0.00 0.00 31 10 41 7 10 0 62 High Point 0.00 0.00 0.00 62 58 120 8 10 0 63 Holy Cross 0.00 0.00 0.00 75 42 117 4 14 0 64 Howard 0.00 0.00 0.00 105 93 198 0 10 0 65 Iona 0.00 0.00 0.00 80 87 167 7 10 0 66 Kennesaw State 0.00 0.00 0.00 94 92 186 5 13 0 67 La Salle 0.00 0.00 0.00 66 76 142 8 8 0 68 Lafayette 0.00 0.00 0.00 91 83 174 4 13 0 69 Lehigh 0.00 0.00 0.00 53 65 118 9 8 0 70 Liberty 0.00 0.00 0.00 63 61 124 9 11 0 71 LIU Brooklyn 0.00 0.00 0.00 96 105 201 7 9 0 72 Longwood 0.00 0.00 0.00 81 77 158 6 12 0 73 Manhattan 0.00 0.00 0.00 95 88 183 4 13 0 74 Marist 0.00 0.00 0.00 54 49 103 8 9 0 75 Marquette 0.00 0.00 0.00 74 56 130 5 12 0 76 Massachusetts-Lowell 0.00 0.00 0.00 98 47 145 0 17 0 77 Mercer 0.00 0.00 0.00 101 106 207 5 9 0 78 Michigan 0.00 0.00 0.00 73 52 125 5 12 0 79 Monmouth 0.00 0.00 0.00 50 81 131 12 6 0 80 Mount St. Mary's 0.00 0.00 0.00 89 91 180 6 11 0 81 Navy 0.00 0.00 0.00 32 63 95 15 5 0 82 New Hampshire 0.00 0.00 0.00 49 27 76 6 10 0 83 Niagara 0.00 0.00 0.00 86 80 166 6 12 0 84 Old Dominion 0.00 0.00 0.00 64 101 165 13 5 0 85 Oregon 0.00 0.00 0.00 45 55 100 10 8 0 86 Presbyterian 0.00 0.00 0.00 102 96 198 3 14 0 87 Quinnipiac 0.00 0.00 0.00 93 67 160 2 14 0 88 Robert Morris 0.00 0.00 0.00 77 103 180 10 7 0 89 Rutgers 0.00 0.00 0.00 56 7 63 2 16 0 90 Sacred Heart 0.00 0.00 0.00 88 98 186 7 9 0 91 Saint Francis 0.00 0.00 0.00 104 104 208 3 13 0 92 Saint Joseph's 0.00 0.00 0.00 78 72 150 5 11 0 93 San Diego State 0.00 0.00 0.00 41 45 86 9 8 0 94 Siena 0.00 0.00 0.00 65 82 147 10 8 0 95 St. Bonaventure 0.00 0.00 0.00 100 84 184 2 15 0 96 St. Mary's (CA) 0.00 0.00 0.00 103 85 188 0 15 0 97 Stetson 0.00 0.00 0.00 99 97 196 4 13 0 98 Temple 0.00 0.00 0.00 51 79 130 10 6 0 99 UC Davis 0.00 0.00 0.00 79 51 130 4 13 0 100 UMBC 0.00 0.00 0.00 48 39 87 8 9 0 101 Vanderbilt 0.00 0.00 0.00 37 30 67 7 9 0 102 Villanova 0.00 0.00 0.00 57 68 125 9 8 0 103 Virginia Tech 0.00 0.00 0.00 40 17 57 6 12 0 104 Wagner 0.00 0.00 0.00 87 100 187 9 10 0 105 William & Mary 0.00 0.00 0.00 58 28 86 5 11 0 106 Winthrop 0.00 0.00 0.00 42 95 137 17 4 0 107 Yale 0.00 0.00 0.00 38 34 72 7 8 0